山东大尹格庄金矿床深部三维定量成矿预测     

陈进  毛先成  邓浩 《地球学报》2020,41(2):179-191

大尹格庄金矿是胶西北招平断裂带中段的大型金矿床,但随着逐渐的开采其保有资源量不断下降,急需在矿床的深边部区域开展接续资源找矿工作。本文以大尹格庄金矿为研究对象,以区域成矿理论和找矿勘查模型为指导,利用三维地质建模技术构建了相关地质体的三维模型,在此基础上,采用定量化的方法提取地质体与成矿相关的控矿因素指标和矿化指标,并建立了三维定量成矿预测模型,并应用该模型圈定了3个找矿靶区。研究表明,该方法能够适用于大中型矿山的深边部找矿工作,其三维及定量化的预测结果能够为后续的勘探及开采工作提供重要参考。  相似文献   

级配碎石填料大三轴试验及累积塑性应变预测模型     

杨志浩  岳祖润  冯怀平  叶朝良  马德良 《岩土力学》2020,41(9):2993-3002

级配碎石作为重载铁路基床表层的主要填料，其受列车荷载的影响最大。因此，研究级配碎石在循环荷载作用下的动力行为及累积塑性应变演化特征变得尤为重要。首先，通过制备不同细粒含量的级配碎石填料，开展一系列大型动三轴试验，探究细粒含量、围压及动应力幅值对循环荷载作用下试样累积塑性应变的耦合影响机制。其次，基于塑性安定理论，确定不同应力水平下试样的动力行为，得到考虑围压及细粒含量参数的塑性蠕变状态临界动应力计算模型。最后，结合试验数据，建立考虑应力水平及细粒含量参数的塑性蠕变动力行为累积塑性应变预测模型，并明确各参数的物理意义。其研究成果可为既有重载铁路路基健康状态评估及考虑强度、变形综合控制的路基结构设计提供参考。  相似文献   

一种基于GA-BP-MC神经网络的高铁桥墩沉降预测模型     

冯绍权  花向红  陶武勇  宣伟  吴伟  续东 《测绘通报》2019,(7):50-53,82

提出一种基于马尔科夫链修正的遗传BP神经网络预测模型（GA-BP-MC），利用遗传算法的全局寻优能力初始化BP神经网络权值和阈值，初步建立GA-BP神经网络预测模型，结合马尔科夫链的无后效性修正模型预测值，形成高精度GA-BP-MC神经网络变形预测模型。结合高铁桥墩沉降数据，分别与BP神经网络、GA-BP神经网络预测模型进行对比，结果表明，该预测模型精度最高。  相似文献   

GNSS转发式欺骗干扰方法的改进     

何婷 《测绘通报》2019,(4):71-74,83

针对GNSS多天线转发式欺骗干扰在实际应用中，当干扰机与目标机距离大于一定范围时，将引起目标机钟差突跳，从而易被目标机检测和识别的缺陷，提出了基于干扰机阵列的转发式欺骗干扰新方法。干扰机阵列按照正六边形网型布设，可实现目标区域的无缝覆盖，并且灵活易拓展。不论目标机位于区域的任何位置，均有一个最优干扰机能够对其实施有效干扰。为了确定相邻干扰机的最优间距，本文在干扰机阵列不同间距下对具有钟差突跳自适应检测能力的目标机的干扰有效性进行了仿真研究。结论表明，综合考虑各种约束因素，相邻干扰机最优间距为17 km，满足该条件的干扰机阵列在实施欺骗干扰过程中，不会造成目标机钟差突跳，有效解决了该干扰方式易被目标机识别的问题。  相似文献   

Formulation of risk-targeted seismic action for the force-based seismic design of structures     

Jure Žižmond  Matjaž Dolšek 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(12):1406-1428

A risk-targeted design spectral acceleration and the corresponding seismic design action for the force-based design of structures is introduced by means of two formulations. The first one called direct formulation utilizes the seismic hazard function at the site of the structure. Because the seismic action defined in the codes is often associated with a designated return period, an indirect formulation is also introduced. It incorporates a risk-targeted safety factor that can be used to define a risk-targeted reduction factor. It is shown that the proposed formulations give analogical results and provide an insight into the concept of the reduction of seismic forces for the force-based seismic design of structures if the objective is defined by a target collapse risk. The introduced closed-form solution for the risk-targeted reduction factor can be used to investigate how the target collapse risk, the seismic hazard parameters, the randomness of the seismic action, and the conventional parameters (ie, the overstrength factor and the deformation and energy dissipation capacity) affect the seismic design forces in the case of force-based design. However, collaborative research is needed in order to develop appropriate models of these parameters. In the second part of the paper, the proposed formulations are demonstrated by estimating the risk-targeted seismic design action for a six-storey reinforced concrete building. By verifying the collapse risk of the designed structure, it is demonstrated that the risk-targeted seismic action, in conjunction with a conventional force-based design, provided structure with acceptable performance when measured in terms of collapse risk.  相似文献   

基于网络时空核密度的交通事故多发点鉴别方法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王颖志  王立君 《地理科学》2019,39(8):1238-1245

交通事故多发点是道路交通安全管理的重要治理对象,如何利用空间统计方法对其进行高效鉴别是研究热点。以华东某地为研究区域,以2013~2015年该研究区域的道路交通事故数据为研究对象,以时空道路网络为视角,通过路网匹配和路网裁剪形成事故时空子路段,提出一种基于交通事故场景的网络时空核密度估计值作为鉴别指标,用累计频率法和零膨胀的负二项回归模型确定鉴别阈值的事故多发点鉴别方法。  相似文献   

Flow resistance and hydraulic geometry in bedrock rivers with multiple roughness length scales     

Robert I. Ferguson  Richard J. Hardy  Rebecca A. Hodge 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2019,44(12):2437-2449

Many models of incision by bedrock rivers predict water depth and shear stress from discharge; conversely, palaeoflood discharge is sometimes reconstructed from flow depth markers in rock gorges. In both cases, assumptions are made about flow resistance. The depth–discharge relation in a bedrock river must depend on at least two roughness length scales (exposed rock and sediment cover) and possibly a third (sidewalls). A conceptually attractive way to model the depth–discharge relation in such situations is to partition the total shear stress and friction factor, but it is not obvious how to quantify the friction factor for rough walls in a way that can be used in incision process models. We show that a single flow resistance calculation using a spatially averaged roughness length scale closely approximates the partitioning of stress between sediment and rock, and between bed and walls, in idealized scenarios. Both approaches give closer fits to the measured depth–discharge relations in two small bedrock reaches than can be achieved using a fixed value of Manning's n or the Chézy friction factor. Sidewalls that are substantially rougher or smoother than the bed have a significant effect on the partitioning of shear stress between bed and sidewalls. More research is needed on how best to estimate roughness length scales from observable or measurable channel characteristics. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Development of detachable replaceable links for eccentrically braced frames     

Mehmet Bakır Bozkurt  Sina Kazemzadeh Azad  Cem Topkaya 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(10):1134-1155

Eccentrically braced frames (EBFs) can be repaired after a major earthquake by replacing the links. The link replacement is not a straightforward process and is influenced by the type of the link and the amount of residual frame deformations. The past decade has witnessed the development of different types of replaceable links such as end-plated links, web connected links, bolted flange and web spliced links, and collector beam and brace spliced links. All of the developed replaceable link details, except the web connected links, are not suitable for link replacement under residual frame drift. In this paper, a detachable replaceable link detail which is based on splicing the link at its mid-length is proposed. The detail is well suited for installation under residual frame drifts. In addition, the weight and size of the members to be transported and erected are reduced significantly, thereby facilitating the replacement procedure. Performance of this proposed replaceable link is studied by conducting six nearly full scale EBF tests under quasi-static cyclic loading. The link length ratio, type of end-plated mid-splice connection, and the amount of residual drift are considered as test variables. The test results revealed that the inelastic rotation capacity of the detachable replaceable links exceeds the requirements of the AISC Seismic Provisions for Structural Steel Buildings. No failures are observed in the end-plated mid-splice connections demonstrating the potential of the proposed details. The detachable replaceable links are investigated by numerical analysis as well to further validate their applicability and to develop design recommendations.  相似文献   

MEEMD-Elman神经网络的电离层TEC预报模型     

汤俊  高鑫 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(4):395-399

利用IGS中心提供的不同纬度的电离层TEC值,建立基于改进的集总平均经验模态分解(MEEMD)算法和Elman回归神经网络(ERNN)模型相结合的电离层TEC预报模型。实验结果表明,在低、中、高不同纬度采用本文方法预报5 d电离层TEC的预测值的均方根误差最优可达到0.96 TECu,相对精度最优达到95.4%,精度较EMD-ERNN模型及单一ERNN模型有显著提高。  相似文献   

Supply and Demand Levels for Livestock and Poultry Products in the Chinese Mainland and the Potential Demand for Feed Grains     

HUANG Shaolin  LIU Aimin  LU Chunxia  MA Beibei 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2020,11(5):475-482

The widening gap between the supply and demand levels for livestock and poultry products in the Chinese mainland poses a significant challenge to the secure supply of feed grains. Therefore, the accurate prediction of the demand potential for feed grains represents a key scientific issue for ensuring food security in the Chinese mainland. This study is based on an analysis of several factors, such as the Chinese mainland’s output, trade volume, apparent consumption of livestock and poultry products, and two different scenarios for predicting the future demand for feed grains are assessed. The results indicate that output and consumption of livestock and poultry products, as well as the country’s trade deficit and the pressure of the supply and demand balance with respect to these products, have been increasing in recent years. The analysis predicts that the demand for feed grains in the Chinese mainland will reach 425.5 or 389.6 million tons in 2030 based on the two scenarios. This finding indicates that with the increasing demand for livestock and poultry products in the Chinese mainland, the demand for feed grains will continue to increase, and the shortfall in feed grains and raw materials will expand further, especially dependence on external sources of protein-rich feed grains will remain high.  相似文献